Publicado
2022-09-13

Cómo citar

Rondón Quintana, H. A. ., & Zafra Mejía, C. A. . (2022). Temporal analysis of covid-19 in Colombia: associated indicators and modeling. REVISTA NOVA PUBLICACIÓN CIENTÍFICA EN CIENCIAS BIOMÉDICAS, 20(38), 121-140. https://doi.org/10.22490/24629448.6187
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Temporal analysis of covid-19 in Colombia

DOI: https://doi.org/10.22490/24629448.6187
Sección
Artículo producto de Investigación
Hugo Alexander Rondón Quintana
Carlos Alfonso Zafra Mejía

This study shows statistical information regarding COVID-19 in Colombia up to this date (March 1-2022). Specifically, the daily, monthly and cumulative evolution of infections and deaths, correlated with the distribution of the population according to age and gender. Objective. Show statistical information about COVID-19 that allows help to plan and design, in future Pandemics, public health policy strategies in Colombia. Methods. Daily information since the official declaration of Pandemic in Colombia (March 16 – 2020) was obtained by the National Health Institute (INS) and was organized in a database in order to conduct respective analysis. This information was compared to similar studies obtained based on the bibliographical review. Results and Conclusions. Results and conclusions are similar to those found in the reference literature: most part of those dead by COVID-19 are of senior age and male gender. Regarding Case Fatality Rate (CFR), it notoriously increases with age. The most vulnerable population displays an average age of ≥ 52.8 years. The less vulnerable population are young persons under 30 years of age, but specifically, those within the age range of 10 and 20 years. Gompertz and Logistic models can mathematically simulate the evolution of deaths and the evolution of CFR according to age.