Temporal analysis of covid-19 in Colombia: associated indicators and modeling

Hugo Alexander  Rondón Quintana; Carlos Alfonso  Zafra Mejía

doi:10.22490/24629448.6187

Vol. 20 Núm. 38 (2022)

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2022-09-13

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Temporal analysis of covid-19 in Colombia

DOI: https://doi.org/10.22490/24629448.6187

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Artículo producto de Investigación

Hugo Alexander Rondón Quintana

Carlos Alfonso Zafra Mejía

This study shows statistical information regarding COVID-19 in Colombia up to this date (March 1-2022). Specifically, the daily, monthly and cumulative evolution of infections and deaths, correlated with the distribution of the population according to age and gender. Objective. Show statistical information about COVID-19 that allows help to plan and design, in future Pandemics, public health policy strategies in Colombia. Methods. Daily information since the official declaration of Pandemic in Colombia (March 16 – 2020) was obtained by the National Health Institute (INS) and was organized in a database in order to conduct respective analysis. This information was compared to similar studies obtained based on the bibliographical review. Results and Conclusions. Results and conclusions are similar to those found in the reference literature: most part of those dead by COVID-19 are of senior age and male gender. Regarding Case Fatality Rate (CFR), it notoriously increases with age. The most vulnerable population displays an average age of ≥ 52.8 years. The less vulnerable population are young persons under 30 years of age, but specifically, those within the age range of 10 and 20 years. Gompertz and Logistic models can mathematically simulate the evolution of deaths and the evolution of CFR according to age.

COVID-19, case fatality rate (CFR), Colombia, statistic, modeling, pandemic

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Rondón Quintana, H. A. ., & Zafra Mejía, C. A. . (2022). Temporal analysis of covid-19 in Colombia: associated indicators and modeling. Nova, 20(38), 121-140. https://doi.org/10.22490/24629448.6187

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